As the calendar hurtles us ever faster towards the new year that starts this Friday night, I feel as though I owe you some kind of a summation of 5786, the year we have just lived through. However, I don’t feel remotely equipped to sum up this past year, not least because I spent most of this summer not following the news but rather focussing on family matters. I realise that I never wrote about Micha’el and family’s departure. I suspect that was because it wasn’t easy to say goodbye to them all, not knowing when we would all be together again.
Since they left, Bernice and I have booked our next trip to Portugal, for mid-November to mid-December, but it will, I fear, be rather longer before all ten of us sit round a table together again. However, their almost-five-week trip gave us plenty of opportunities to do just that, and we have plenty of really good memories to cherish, and even some great photos to keep those memories fresh.
When I did resume following the news, it quickly became clear that we are well into the season of celebrating Israel’s thriving democracy. In another seven weeks we face a general election, after this government has, remarkably and uncharacteristically, run its full term. In a part of the world dominated by dictatorships and coups, Israel should be celebrated as a democracy, However, the last week or so has reminded us that even that least bad of all political systems can be, at times, difficult to stomach.
Israel’s voting system is one of nationwide proportional representation. The electoral threshold is currently set at 3.25%, with the number of seats a party receives in the Knesset being proportional to the number of votes it receives. If a party fails to meet the electoral threshold, the votes it received are distributed among all of the parties that did meet the threshold, in proportion to the number of votes each of those parties received. So, if three parties contest the election, and Party A receives 65% of the votes cast, Party B receives 33%, and Party C receives 3%, the votes Party C received will be redistributed, Party A receiving another 2% and Party B another 1%.
There are a total of 120 Knesset seats, which means that a party that receives 5% of the total vote will win 6 seats.
One thing that results from this system is that, in the weeks after an election is announced and before the deadline for registering parties is reached, new political parties tend to sprout like mushrooms after rain. No end of people – retired senior military figures, successful businessmen, social campaigners, some considerably less-than-public figures – allow themselves to be persuaded that they can expect to garner 5% or more of the popular vote, and gain a voice in the Knesset.
This situation inevitably leads to an unhealthy amount of horse-trading, with major party leaders selling realistic slots on their candidate list in return for a smaller party joining the behemoth. Many of those who offer their party’s support are more easily able to do so because they are single-issue parties, with a certain amount of ideological flexibility.
As a result, it is easier to determine, in many cases, who a minor party leader will sell his allegiance to and who he will not, than it is to know what the minor party’s position is on, say, health or education reform. You must also remember that, on what is perhaps the most important issue in Israel in 2026 (as, indeed in 1956, 1966, and most years since), there is scarcely any daylight between the party leaders. On the question of security, it is not easy to find anyone outside Israel who reads the map as Israel does, but, inside Israel, it is increasingly difficult to find anyone who reads it differently. The rest of the world talks as if the two-state solution is within arm’s reach. Israels know that it is as good as dead in the water, at least for the foreseeable future.
All of the above is by way of a background that most of you almost certainly do not need. What I actually want to talk about this week is a particularly ugly consequence of the fact that there is not a lot of ideological disagreement between many of the parties, and, therefore, little material for policy debate. If you can’t argue about issues, what’s left? Why, personalities, of course, and the last week or so has thrown up two violent character assassination attempts.
The first was from Sara Netanyahu. In many democracies, the Prime Minister’s partner is expected to play a passive supporting role, principally when hosting foreign leaders. In Likud, Sara Netanyahu is, arguably, the eminence grise, a very significant influence behind the throne. At the very least, she is a woman with strong opinions, which she voices behind closed doors and sometimes in front of them.
Last week, she was, I suspect, selected by those who are running Likud’s election campaign to drop a bombshell. She was being interviewed on Channel 14, a firmly pro-Government television channel. (The Netanyahus would not agree to be interviewed on any Israeli media outlets that were not supportive of the Government. That is definitely not their style of democracy.) During the course of the interview, she referred to the well-documented story of Yair Golan’s actions on October 7.
Golan is the leader of the left-wing Democrats party, and also a former deputy chief of staff and reservist major-general. Soon after hearing about the Hamas onslaught on October 7, 2023, around 8AM, he put on his army uniform, drove to his old HQ at Home Front command, got issued with his old rifle and ammunition, and immediately headed south in the direction of the Nova festival. Over the next hours, he was contacted by, first, his sister, and then two other separate people, all sending him pin locations of family or friends who were hiding from the terrorists near the festival site. He located and evacuated these three groups.
Reflecting on this action, Sara Netanyahu said: “When you’re a military man of such high rank, claiming that you fought on October 7, already early in the morning you were there, already dressed and ready at a very, very early hour when others didn’t know, such as the prime minister, Who is the prime minister anyway to know that a war is breaking out? Why let him know?”
There is quite a lot to unpack here. First, there is the insinuation, unsupported by even a shred of evidence, that Golan had advance notice of the Hamas attack and chose to make political capital out of that advance knowledge by contriving to arrive at the site of an attack by Hamas hordes armed only with a rifle, before significant army forces arrived. This insinuation is clearly deranged, making no logical sense at any level. Are we to believe that Golan was in league with Hamas, or that the army chose to keep information from the Prime Minister and not to act on that information by mobilizing forces, but to inform Golan?
Then, there is the further conclusion. If I know that this story is nonsensical, then so does the Likud campaign manager. If he allowed Sara Netanyahu to launch the story, then he (or if Sara acted without consulting him, then she) must have contempt for the intelligence of the undecided voters, and must believe that they will, on the basis of this ludicrous accusation, vote for Bibi.
Golan responded by demanding that Sara Netanyahu issue an unequivocal public apology within 24 hours and arrange for financial compensation to be donated in full to survivors of the Nova music festival. He further announced that, if she does not comply, he intends to sue her for defamation.
Sara reportedly rejected Golan’s demands, and issued demands of her own. She reportedly called on Golan to publish a public apology and clarification within 24 hours and pay NIS 100,000 shekels in compensation within 48 hours.
Bibi, meanwhile, was quick to release a video, stating: “I do not think there was a betrayal on October 7. There was a major failure. All the signs were there, and they decided, based on a miscalculation, not to anger Hamas — not to wake me up and not to attack in advance. That was a failure, but it was not a betrayal, and my wife also did not say there was a betrayal. That is simply nonsense.” One more cynical than I would claim that this video was the premeditated and choreographed follow-up to Sara’s punch.
One more Machiavellian than I would claim that, on a day when the news included the failure of multiple water desalination plants in Israel and rising energy prices, Sara Netanyahu ensured that the lead news story would be one that eventually drew everyone’s attention to the theory that the defence establishment deliberately kept from the Prime Minister the suspicions of a planned Hamas attack, fearing that he would order pre-emptive action at the Gaza border.
While we were still recovering from this story, ex-Prime Minister and opposition party leader Naftali Bennett endorsed a Haaretz report that, days before the attack, the premier received a personal warning from United Arab Emirates President Mohamed bin Zayed about Hamas’ plans.
While Bennett offered no explanation as to how he knew the story was true, he went on: “Netanyahu bears personal and direct responsibility for the failure that led to the deaths of thousands of Israelis on his watch. He did not go to the field, did not warn the heads of the security system, did not prepare Israel for the attack, and did not convene the cabinet.” Instead, Bennett alleged, Netanyahu continued strengthening Hamas by transferring more funds and promising additional permits for Palestinian workers in response to outside pressure.
In a certain light, I should perhaps celebrate the fact that I live in a democracy where the press, and an ex-prime minister, can freely accuse the Prime Minister of such a colossal error of judgement. As the same time, I must surely bemoan the fact that the public standing of the Prime Minister is such that the newspaper and the ex-prime minister can believe such a thing of the prime minister. (Or, at least, claim to believe it.)
All in all, these last days have left me with a foul taste in my mouth. I can only hope that 5787 brings the country fresh, idealistic, political faces. I wish all my readers a happy and healthy New Year. May you find in this period an opportunity for spiritual refreshment, and may we all sleep safe in our beds in this coming year.